Working Paper

When Distrust Goes Viral: Causal Effects of Covid-19 on European Political Attitudes

Gianmarco Daniele, Andrea F.M. Martinangeli, Francesco Passarelli, Willem Sas, Lisa Windsteiger
CESifo, Munich, 2020

CESifo Working Paper No. 8804

To investigate how Covid-19 is shaping the way Europeans think about institutions, we conducted a large online survey experiment during the first wave of the epidemic (June). With a randomised survey ow we varied whether respondents are given Covid-related treatment questions first, before answering the outcome questions. We find that the crisis has severely undermined trust in politicians, the media, the EU and social welfare spending financed by taxes. This is mainly due to economic insecurity, but also because of health concerns. We also uncover a rallying effect around (scientific) expertise combined with populist policies losing ground.

CESifo Category
Public Finance
Behavioural Economics
Keywords: Covid-19, institutional trust, political attitudes, online survey experiment, European Union, welfare, taxation, populism
JEL Classification: D720, H510, H530, H550, O520, P520