Working Paper

A Bias-Corrected CD Test for Error Cross-Sectional Dependence in Panel Data Models with Latent Factors

M. Hashem Pesaran, Yimeng Xie
CESifo, Munich, 2021

CESifo Working Paper No. 9234

In a recent paper Juodis and Reese (2022) (JR) show that the application of the CD test proposed by Pesaran (2004) to residuals from panels with latent factors results in over-rejection. They propose a randomized test statistic to correct for over-rejection, and add a screening component to achieve power. This paper considers the same problem but from a different perspective. It shows that the standard CD test remains valid if the latent factors are weak, and proposes a simple bias-corrected CD test, labelled CD*, which is shown to be asymptotically normal, irrespective of whether the latent factors are weak or strong. This result is shown to hold for pure latent factor models as well as for panel regressions with latent factors. The case where the errors are serially correlated is also considered. Small sample properties of the CD* test are investigated by Monte Carlo experiments and are shown to have the correct size and satisfactory power for both Gaussian and non-Gaussian errors. In contrast, it is found that JR.s test tends to over-reject in the case of panels with non-Gaussian errors, and has low power against spatial network alternatives. The use of the CD* test is illustrated with two empirical applications from the literature.

CESifo Category
Empirical and Theoretical Methods
Keywords: latent factor models, strong and weak factors, error cross-sectional dependence, spatial and network alternatives, size and power
JEL Classification: C180, C230, C550