Working Paper

Optimal Firm's Dividend and Capital Structure for Mean Reverting Profitability

Francesco Menoncin, Paolo Panteghini, Luca Regis
CESifo, Munich, 2021

CESifo Working Paper No. 9407

We model a risk-averse firm owner who wants to maximize the intertemporal expected utility of firm’s dividends. The optimal dynamic control problem is characterized by two stochastic state variables: the equity value, and profitability (ROA) of the _rm. According to the empirical evi-dence, we let profitability follow a mean reverting process. The problem is solved in a quasi-explicit form by computing both the optimal dividend and the optimal debt. Finally, we calibrate the model to actual US data and check both the properties of the solution and its sensitivity to the model parameters. In particular, our results show that the optimal dividend is smooth over time and that leverage is predominantly constant over time. Neither asymmetric information nor frictions are necessary to obtain these findings.

CESifo Category
Empirical and Theoretical Methods
Keywords: dividend policy, capital structure, profit mean-reversion, closed-form, stochastic optimization
JEL Classification: H250, G320, G350