Working Paper

Do Government Purchases Affect Unemployment?

Steinar Holden, Victoria Sparrman
CESifo, Munich, 2011

CESifo Working Paper No. 3482

We investigate empirically the effect of government purchases on unemployment in 20 OECD countries, for the period 1960-2007. Compared to earlier studies we use a data set with more variation in unemployment, and which allows for controlling for a host of factors that influence the effect of government purchases. We find that increased government purchases lead to lower unemployment; an increase equal to one percent of GDP reduces un-employment by 0.2 percentage point in the same year. The effect is greater in downturns than in booms, and also greater under a fixed exchange rate regime than under a floating regime.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Labour Markets
Keywords: fiscal policy, unemployment
JEL Classification: E620, H300