Working Paper

Connective Financing - Chinese Infrastructure Projects and the Diffusion of Economic Activity in Developing Countries

Richard Bluhm, Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs, Bradley C. Parks, Austin M. Strange, Michael J. Tierney
CESifo, Munich, 2020

CESifo Working Paper No. 8344

This paper studies the causal effect of transport infrastructure on the spatial distribution of economic activity within subnational regions in a large number of developing countries. To do so, we introduce a new global dataset of geolocated Chinese development finance projects over the period from 2000 to 2014 and combine it with measures of spatial concentration based on remotely-sensed data. We find that Chinese-financed transportation projects reduce spatial concentration within regions. Transport projects decentralize economic activity particularly strongly in regions that are more urbanized, located closer to a city, and less developed.


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CESifo Category
Public Choice
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Keywords: development finance, transport costs, infrastructure, foreign aid, spatial concentration, China
JEL Classification: F350, R110, R120, P330, O180, O190