Working Paper

The Minimum Inflation Rate for Euroland

Michael Reutter, Hans-Werner Sinn
CESifo, Munich, 2000

CESifo Working Paper No. 377

As a result of the Balassa effect relative prices change rapidly between and within the euro countries. Thus it is impossible to find a common monetary policy that will result in price stability in all countries. Based on empirical estimates of the Balassa model, the paper calculates a minimum aggregate inflation rate which is compatible with the requirement that no country face a deflation. This minimum aggeragate inflation rate is 0.94% in the euro-11 countries and 1.13% in an extended Europe which incorporates the east European countries.

Keywords: Inflation target, Balassa-Samuelson effect, ECB