Working Paper

EMU Enlargement, Policy Uncertainty and Economic Reforms

Carsten Hefeker
CESifo, Munich, 2006

CESifo Working Paper No. 1767

The paper analyzes the relation between monetary uncertainty and government incentives to implement economic reforms that reduce structural distortions and make economies more flexible. It is shown that uncertainty about the central bank’s reaction function leads to more reforms. I relate this result to the debate about central bank setup in a larger monetary union.

Keywords: transparency of monetary policy, ECB voting structure, European Monetary Union, optimal representation, labor market regulation