Working Paper

Changes in Risk and the Demand for Saving

Louis Eeckhoudt, Harris Schlesinger
CESifo, Munich, 2008

CESifo Working Paper No. 2388

How does risk affect saving? Empirical work typically examines the effects of detectible differences in risk within the data. How these differences affect saving in theoretical models depends on the metric one uses for risk. For labor-income risk, second-degree increases in risk require prudence to induce increased saving demand. However, prudence is not necessary for first-degree risk increases and not sufficient for higher-degree risk increases. For increases in interest rate risk, a precautionary effect and a substitution effect need to be compared. This paper provides necessary and sufficient conditions on preferences for an Nth-degree change in risk to increase saving.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Keywords: precautionary saving, prudence, stochastic dominance, temperance
JEL Classification: D810,E210