Working Paper

Discounting the Long-Distant Future: A Simple Explanation for the Weitzman-Gollier-Puzzle

Wolfgang Buchholz, Jan Schumacher
CESifo, Munich, 2008

CESifo Working Paper No. 2357

In this paper, we reconsider the debate on Weitzman's (1998) suggestion to discount the long-run future at the lowest possible rate, referring to Gollier (2004) and Hepburn & Groom (2007). We show that, while Weitzman's use of the present value approach may indeed seem questionable, its outcome, i.e. a discount rate that is declining over time, is nevertheless reasonable, since it can be justified by assuming a plausible degree of risk aversion.

CESifo Category
Resources and Environment
Keywords: discount rates, uncertainty, risk aversion
JEL Classification: D400,E430,Q510