Working Paper

The Value of a Statistical Life under Ambiguity Aversion

Nicolas Treich
CESifo, Munich, 2008

CESifo Working Paper No. 2291

We show that ambiguity aversion increases the value of a statistical life as soon as the marginal utility of wealth is higher if alive than dead. The intuition is that ambiguity aversion has a similar effect as an increase in the perceived baseline mortality risk, and thus operates as the “dead anyway” effect. We suggest, however, that ambiguity aversion should usually have a modest effect on the prevention of ambiguous mortality risks within benefit-cost analysis, and can hardly justify the substantial “ambiguity premium” apparently embodied in environmental policy-making.

CESifo Category
Resources and Environment
Keywords: ambiguity, value-of-a-statistical-life, uncertainty, risk-aversion, willingness-to-pay, benefit-cost analysis, environmental risk, health policy
JEL Classification: D810,I180,Q510