Working Paper

A Cross-Country Empirical Analysis of International Reserves

Yin-Wong Cheung, Hiro Ito
CESifo, Munich, 2009

CESifo Working Paper No. 2654

Using data from more than 100 economies for the period of 1975 to 2005, we conduct an extensive empirical analysis of the determinants of international reserve holdings. Four groups of determinants, namely, traditional macro variables, financial variables, institutional variables, and dummy variables that control for individual economies’ characteristics are considered. We find that the relationship between international reserves and their determinants is significantly different between developed and developing economies and is not stable over time. The estimation results indicate that, especially during the recent period, a developed economy tends to hold a lower level of international reserves than a developing one. Furthermore, there is only limited evidence that East Asian economies including China and Japan are accumulating an excessive amount of international reserves.

CESifo Category
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Keywords: developed vs developing economies, excess hoarding, macro determinants, financial factors, institutional variables
JEL Classification: F310,F340,F360