Working Paper

Quantifying Optimal Growth Policy

Volker Grossmann, Thomas Steger, Timo Trimborn
CESifo, Munich, 2010

CESifo Working Paper No. 3092

The optimal mix of growth policies is determined within a comprehensive endogenous growth model. The analysis captures important elements of the tax-transfer system and accounts for transitional dynamics. Currently, for calculating corporate taxable income US firms are allowed to deduct approximately all of their capital and R&D costs from sales revenue. Our analysis suggests that this policy leads to severe underinvestment in both R&D and physical capital. We find that firms should be allowed to deduct between 2-2.5 times their R&D costs and about 1.5-1.7 times their capital costs. Implementing the optimal policy mix is likely to entail huge welfare gains.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Keywords: economic growth, endogenous technical change, optimal growth policy, tax-transfer system, transitional dynamics
JEL Classification: H200,O300,O400