Working Paper

CCS - Failing to Pass Decision Gates

Magne Emhjellen, Petter Osmundsen
CESifo, Munich, 2013

CESifo Working Paper No. 4525

Socio-economic criteria for climate projects have been used in analysing the value of the climate benefit of a reduction in CO2. These reports are optimistic, yet CCS demonstration plants are not implemented as expected. Little attention has been devoted to profitability assessments based on commercial considerations. Economic valuation of climate projects, seen from the perspective of the commercial companies which are to implement the projects, is the subject of this article. We examine key economic parameters of 27 oil and gas projects and compare it to a CCS project. We find that the CCS project ranks the lowest and is unlikely to be implemented by a private company. Our findings may explain why it is hard for oil companies to justify climate projects in their portfolios.

CESifo Category
Resources and Environment
Energy and Climate Economics
Keywords: climate projects, decision analysis, CO2
JEL Classification: Q380, Q530, Q540