Working Paper

Iceland: How Could This Happen?

Thorvaldur Gylfason
CESifo, Munich, 2014

CESifo Working Paper No. 4605

This paper reviews economic developments in Iceland following its financial collapse in 2008, focusing on causes and consequences of the crash. The review is presented in the context of the Nordic region, with broad comparisons also with developments elsewhere on the periphery of Europe, in Greece, Ireland, and Portugal. In some ways, however, Iceland resembles Italy, Japan, and Russia more than it resembles its Nordic neighbors or even Ireland. The paper also considers the uncertain prospects for reforms and restoration as well as the possible effects of the crash on social, human, and real capital and on long-run economic growth.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Keywords: Iceland, financial crisis, social capital
JEL Classification: G010, O400