Working Paper

Central Bank Balance Sheets: Expansion and Reduction since 1900

Niall Ferguson, Andreas Schaab, Moritz Schularick
CESifo, Munich, 2015

CESifo Working Paper No. 5379

In this paper we study the evolution of central banks’ balance sheets in 12 advanced economies since 1900. We find that balance sheet size in most developed countries has fluctuated within rather clearly defined bands relative to output. Historically, clusters of big expansions and contractions of balance sheets have been associated with periods of geopolitical or financial crisis. Relative to the size of the financial sector, central bank balance sheets had shrunk dramatically in the three decades preceding the global financial crisis. By that yardstick, their recent expansion partly marks a return to earlier levels.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Keywords: central banks, monetary policy, financial history
JEL Classification: E510, E580, N100