Working Paper

Fiscal Rules, Financial Stability and Optimal Currency Areas

Paul De Grauwe, Pasquale Foresti
CESifo, Munich, 2015

CESifo Working Paper No. 5390

In this paper we suggest that Eurozone countries face a policy trade-off among: 1) a common rule imposing co-movements in fiscal policy; 2) financial stability; and 3) financial integration. We provide empirical evidence documenting the existence of such a trade-off in the period characterized by the financial crisis and by the sovereign debt crisis. Then, we conclude that the intense fiscal rules that have been introduced in the Eurozone after the emergence of the debt crisis reduced the capacity of national governments to deal with asymmetric shocks and became incompatible with either free capital mobility and/or financial stability.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Keywords: fiscal policy rules, Eurozone, financial stability, policy objectives, optimal currency areas.
JEL Classification: E440, E610, E620