Working Paper

Structural Vector Autoregressions with Heteroskedasticity - A Comparison of Different Volatility Models

Helmut Luetkepohl, Aleksei Netšunajev
CESifo, Munich, 2015

CESifo Working Paper No. 5308

A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. A number of different models for heteroskedasticity or conditional heteroskedasticity are proposed and used in applications in this context. This study reviews the different volatility models and points out their advantages and drawbacks. It thereby enables researchers wishing to use identification of structural VAR models via heteroskedasticity to make a more informed choice of a suitable model for a specific empirical analysis. An application investigating the interaction between U.S. monetary policy and the stock market is used to illustrate the related issues.

CESifo Category
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Keywords: structural vector autoregression, identification via heteroskedasticity, conditional heteroskedasticity, smooth transition, Markov switching, GARCH
JEL Classification: C320