Working Paper

Treasury Auctions and Secondary Market Dynamics. An Analysis Based on the MTS Market for Italy.

Gianluca Cafiso
CESifo, Munich, 2015

CESifo Working Paper No. 5357

Auctions of government bonds are the main allotment method used by the Treasury of advanced economies. Previous research has found that auctions have an influence on the market yield days before they take place, and underpricing is usually spotted when their outcome is compared with contemporaneous market quotes. The objective of this research is to investigate deeper and more accurately these two findings by taking Italy as a case study. Our results question the so-called auction cycle and do not signal underpricing when a perfect matching between the auctioned bond and the market quote used is ensured.

CESifo Category
Public Finance
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Keywords: primary market, secondary market, MTS market, treasury auctions, government bonds, market micro-structure, regime volatility
JEL Classification: G120, G140, G180