Working Paper

Smoothing Asymmetric Shocks vs. Redistribution
in the Euro Area: A Simple Proposal for Dealing
with Mistrust in the Euro Area

Heikki Oksanen
CESifo, Munich, 2016

CESifo Working Paper No. 5817

The euro area will not have a centralised budget and smoothing of country-specific asymmetric shocks via private financial markets will develop only slowly. Mistrust among the governments has caused rigid, even pro-cyclical fiscal policies. Smoothing mechanisms are absent due to the fear that the transfers would develop into permanent redistribution. For removing these deficiencies we propose a transfer mechanism to be managed in periods of seven years so that the cumulative balance of each country is cleared in equal instalments during the subsequent 7-year period. The transfers would smoothen asymmetric shocks and alleviate the rigidity of the fiscal rules.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Keywords: euro, monetary union, smoothing shocks, fiscal transfers, government budget
JEL Classification: E420, E620, H100