Working Paper

Terror Per Capita

Michael Jetter, David Stadelmann
CESifo, Munich, 2017

CESifo Working Paper No. 6335

Usually, studies analyzing terrorism focus on the total number of casualties or attacks in a given county. However, per capita rates of terrorism are more likely to matter for individual welfare. Analyzing 214 countries from 1970 - 2014, we show that three stylized findings are overturned in terms of sign, magnitude, and statistical significance when investigating terror per capita. Democracy, previously associated with more casualties, emerges as a marginally negative predictor of terror per capita. A larger share of Muslims in society is, if anything, associated with less terrorism. Similar conclusions apply to language fractionalization.

CESifo Category
Empirical and Theoretical Methods
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Keywords: terrorism, terror per capita, democracy, Islam, language fractionalization
JEL Classification: D740, O570, Z120