Working Paper

Uncertain Length of Life, Retirement Age, and Optimal Pension Design

Thomas Aronsson, Sören Blomquist
CESifo, Munich, 2018

CESifo Working Paper No. 6940

In this paper, we consider how the hours of work and retirement age ought to respond to a change in the uncertainty of the length of life. In a first best framework, where a benevolent government exercises perfect control over the individuals’ labor supply and retirement-decisions, the results show that a decrease in the standard deviation of life-length leads to an increase in the optimal retirement age and a decrease in the hours of work per period spent working. This result is robust, and is also derived in models of decentralized decision-making where individuals decide on their own consumption, labor supply, and retirement age, and where the government attempts to affect their behavior and welfare through redistribution and pension policy.

CESifo Category
Public Finance
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
JEL Classification: D610, D800, H210, H550