Working Paper

Hedging climate change news

Robert Engle, Stefano Giglio, Heebum Lee, Bryan Kelly, Johannes Stroebel
CESifo, Munich, 2019

CESifo Working Paper No. 7655

We propose and implement a procedure to dynamically hedge climate change risk. We extract innovations from climate news series that we construct through textual analysis of newspapers. We then use a mimicking portfolio approach to build climate change hedge portfolios. We discipline the exercise by using third-party ESG scores of firms to model their climate risk exposures. We show that this approach yields parsimonious and industry-balanced portfolios that perform well in hedging innovations in climate news both in sample and out of sample. We discuss multiple directions for future research on financial approaches to managing climate risk.

CESifo Category
Resources and Environment
Energy and Climate Economics
Keywords: climate risk
JEL Classification: G110, G180, Q540