Working Paper

Dynamic Mergers Effects on R&D Investments and Drug Development across Research Phases in the Pharmaceutical Industry

Ralph Siebert, Zhili Tian
CESifo, Munich, 2020

CESifo Working Paper No. 8303

Pharmaceutical firms spend increasing amounts in mergers and acquisitions (M&As), which raises the question of whether sufficient investment is left after mergers to further develop firms’ internal drug development capability. We evaluate the effects of M&As on firms’ post-merger R&D investments and drug development capabilities across drug development phases. This study builds on a novel database that enables us to evaluate the post-merger effect at the research project level and across development phases. A further novel feature of the study is allowing measurement errors to enter firms’ R&D investments. Our study adopts a structural equation modeling approach, which is appropriate for evaluating a system of equations through which we examine the direct and indirect merger effects on R&D capabilities across development phases. We find that M&As have a strong effect on firms’ drug development at the late development phases through economies of scope. At the early development phases, M&As serve to replenish firms’ drug pipelines. The study shows that M&As have a direct and negative effect on firms’ R&D investments. However, the overall effect on R&D investments accounting for enhanced post-merger R&D capabilities and product approvals turns out to be positive. M&As can be an effective instrument for firms to acquire drug development knowledge and technology in late stages of the development process (Phases 3 clinical testing and regulatory filing). Our study provide empirical evidence that investments in M&As in late stage of drug development help firms’ growth and increase firms revenue.

CESifo Category
Industrial Organisation
Keywords: drug development phases, dynamics, innovation management, merger and acquisition, pharmaceutical drug development, R&D capabilities
JEL Classification: L110, L130, L520, O310, O320, O380