Working Paper

The Impact of Fintech Startups on Financial Institutions' Performance and Default Risk

Christian Haddad, Lars Hornuf
CESifo, Munich, 2021

CESifo Working Paper No. 9050

We examine the impact of fintech start-ups on the performance and default risk of traditional financial institutions. We find a positive relationship between fintech start-up formations and incumbent institutions’ performance for the period 2005–2018 and a large sample of financial institutions from 87 countries. We further analyze the link between fintech start-up formations and the default risk of traditional financial institutions. Fintech start-up formations decrease stock return volatility of incumbent institutions and decrease the systemic risk exposure of financial institutions. The findings indicate that legislators and financial supervisory authorities should closely monitor the development of fintech start-ups, because fintechs not only have a positive effect on the financial sector’s performance but also can improve financial stability relative to the status quo.

CESifo Category
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Economics of Digitization
Keywords: fintech, bank performance, default risk, financial stability
JEL Classification: K000, L260, O300