Working Paper

A Matter of Trust? Political Trust and the Covid-19 Pandemic

Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, Hans Philipp Hofmann
CESifo, Munich, 2021

CESifo Working Paper No. 9121

There is significant cross-country variation in Covid-19 fatalities worldwide. In this study, we analyze the relationship between political trust and fatalities of the Covid-19 pandemic. By performing a cross-country analysis and controlling for other determinants, we find that government trust is negatively associated with Covid-19 cases and deaths. Additionally, our findings suggest that risk communication, in the form of public information campaigns, only decreased Covid-19 cases and deaths in countries with high trust in government. We also find evidence that political trust decreases the risk of removing lockdown policies.

CESifo Category
Social Protection
Empirical and Theoretical Methods
Keywords: Covid-19, pandemic, trust, lockdown, cross-country regression, voluntary compliance
JEL Classification: I120, I180