Working Paper

Macroeconomic Policy and Development in India: Some Analytical Issues

Partha Sen
CESifo, Munich, 2022

CESifo Working Paper No. 10175

Should a developing economy, such as India, have a macroeconomic policy framework that is identical to an advanced capitalist country? The answer is a “No”, because the developing economies have external constraints, that the more developed countries do not. They also, often, need to achieve a structural transformation by moving labour away from agriculture. These economies are, in addition, faced with possibility of international capital flow reversals. I argue for keeping the real exchange depreciated to have an export-led growth, emulating the East Asian experience. In today’s world, given protectionism in the advanced capitalist countries, this strategy is more challenging. Also the capacity of the State to deliver this is open to question.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Keywords: inflation targeting, big push, exchange rates, structural transformation
JEL Classification: E600, O100, O400