Working Paper

Cultural Distance and Ethnic Civil Conflict

Eleonora Guarnieri
CESifo, Munich, 2023

CESifo Working Paper No. 10609

Ethnically diverse countries are more prone to conflict, but why do some groups engage in conflict while others do not? I show that civil conflict is explained by ethnic groups’ cultural distance to the central government: an increase in cultural distance, proxied by linguistic distance, increases an ethnicity’s propensity to fight over government power. To identify this effect, I leverage within-ethnicity variation in linguistic distance resulting from power transitions between ethnic groups over time. I provide evidence that the effects can be attributed to differences in preferences over both the allocation and the type of public goods.

Keywords: ethnic civil war, culture, linguistic distance, Africa, Bantu expansion
JEL Classification: D740, Z100, O550