Working Paper

Extraordinary Measures: The Role of Debt Levels in Fiscal Policy Responses to Covid-19

Adam Elbourne, Giulia Piccillo, Konstantinos Velentzas
CESifo, Munich, 2023

CESifo Working Paper No. 10852

We use SVAR models for 18 economies to estimate how much fiscal policy deviated from pre-pandemic norms during the Covid-19 pandemic. For most countries, fiscal policy was more expansive than the pre-pandemic norm predicts based on the state of the economy during the pandemic. The size of the deviation from the pre-pandemic norm is not related to the level of government debt on the eve of the pandemic, as fiscal space concepts would predict.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Empirical and Theoretical Methods
Keywords: Covid-19, fiscal policy, SVAR, fiscal space
JEL Classification: E600, H500, C500