Working Paper

Labour Costs and the Decision to Hire the First Employee

Bart Cockx, Sam Desiere
CESifo, Munich, 2023

CESifo Working Paper No. 10425

Firms without paid employees account for up to 80% of all firms, but only a small minority ever hires. This paper investigates the relationship between labour costs and the decision to hire a first employee and become an employer. Leveraging a unique policy in Belgium that permanently reduced the labour cost of the first employee by 13%, we find that the number of new, first-time employers jumped by 31% immediately following the reform. The elasticity of the probability to hire the first employee with respect to the labour cost is −2.39 [95% CI: −3.45, −1.25].

CESifo Category
Labour Markets
Industrial Organisation
Keywords: nonemployers, hiring decisions, payroll taxes, small businesses
JEL Classification: D220, H250, J080, J230, L260, M130