Working Paper

Tickets to the Global Market: First US Patent Awards and Chinese Firm Exports

Robin Kaiji Gong, Yao Amber Li, Kalina Manova, Stephen Teng Sun
CESifo, Munich, 2023

CESifo Working Paper No. 10790

We investigate how international patent activity enables firms from emerging economies to thrive in the global marketplace. We match Chinese customs data to US patent records, and leverage the quasi-random assignment of USPTO patent examiners to identify the causal effect of a US patent grant on the subsequent export performance of Chinese firms. Successful first-time patent applicants achieve significantly higher export growth, compared to otherwise similar first-time applicants that failed. This effect operates only in small part through market protection for
technologically patent-related products in the US, and is largely driven by expansion in other markets. The response across destinations and products reveals that a US patent award signals the Chinese firm’s capacity to produce high-quality products and credibility to honor contracts, mitigating information frictions in international trade. There is little evidence for the relaxation of financial constraints or the promotion of follow-on innovation.

CESifo Category
Trade Policy
Keywords: patent rights, innovation, export performance, trade, market protection, asymmetric information, signaling
JEL Classification: F100, F140, O30, O310, O340