Working Paper

Cyclical Asset Returns in the Consumption and Investment Goods Sector

Burkhard Heer, Alfred Maussner, Bernd Süssmuth
CESifo, Munich, 2013

CESifo Working Paper No. 4364

We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost identically in the US economy. In order to derive the cyclical behavior of the equity returns in these two sectors, we consider a standard two-sector real-business cycle model with habit formation and sector-specific adjustment costs of capital. The model is able to replicate the equity premium and the Sharpe values observed empirically. In addition, we are able to match the empirical fact that equity returns in the two sectors are not correlated with output.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Keywords: asset prices, business cycles, equity premium, investment sector, consumption sector
JEL Classification: G120, C630, E220, E320