Working Paper

Pulling up the Tarnished Anchor: The End of Silver as a Global Unit of Account

Ricardo T. Fernholz, Kris James Mitchener, Marc Weidenmier
CESifo, Munich, 2017

CESifo Working Paper No. 6436

We use the demise of silver-based standards in the 19th century to explore price dynamics when a commodity-based money ceases to function as a global unit of account. We develop a general equilibrium model of the global economy with gold and silver money. Calibration of the model shows that silver ceased functioning as a global price anchor in the mid-1890s - the price of silver is positively correlated with agricultural commodities through the mid-1890s, but not thereafter. In contrast to Fisher (1911) and Friedman (1990), both of whom predict greater price stability under bimetallism, our model suggests that a global bimetallic system, in which the gold price of silver uctuates, has higher price volatility than a global monometallic system. We confirm this result using agricultural commodity price data for 1870-1913.

CESifo Category
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Keywords: bimetallism, classical gold standard, silver, unit of account, fixed exchange rates
JEL Classification: E420, F330, N100, N200